I study how people, households, and firms respond to change and disruption, and what those responses mean for welfare and policy. My toolkit draws on large-scale cellphone mobility data alongside housing, survey, and satellite data, combined with causal inference and applied econometric methods, and a healthy obsession with getting identification right.
Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), known as "forever chemicals," are persistent synthetic compounds detected widely across the U.S. This dashboard translates PFAS exposure estimates across industrial, drinking water, recreational, and dietary pathways into ZIP-level risk scores, enabling community-level analysis to support targeted environmental health policies.
Much of my work turns high-frequency smartphone location data into revealed-preference evidence for environmental, agricultural, and urban policy questions — built on structural demand estimation and collaborations with researchers across institutions. Datasets, methods, and papers below.
Shrinkflation, Unit Price Disclosure, and Consumer Welfare: Evidence from Canned Tuna
With Harris-Lagoudakis, Crespi · Food Policy
Published+
Consumers in unit-price-disclosure states are three times more responsive to price changes, consistent with disclosure increasing price salience. Nationwide disclosure would raise consumer surplus by $3.03M short-term, $8.33M long-term. Only 16 states currently require such labeling.
Causal Recreation Demand Estimation with Cellphone Mobility Data: Evidence from 2021 Huntington Beach Oil Spill
With Nieyan Cheng · Land Economics · 🏆 Gregory Chow Best Paper, CES 2025
Published+
$1.03M aggregate welfare loss; $83k/week losses persisted beyond closure. Integrates empirical Bayes into a two-step random coefficient logit model for low-visit sites.
Evaluating Precision, Privacy, and Representation with Cell Phone Data: Evidence from Cape Cod Beaches
With Connolly, Steinbach, Vo · Land Economics
Published+
MWTP $8.92/visit under best practices. Differential privacy reduces MWTP by 65%; relaxed dwell time by 57%. Highlights privacy-accuracy trade-offs in non-market valuation.
Harnessing Human Mobility Data for Applied Economic Research: Current Knowledge, Challenges, and Emerging Opportunities
With Connolly, Steinbach, Vo · Journal of Economic Surveys
Published+
Survey covering contributions of mobility data to travel behavior, labor markets, social interactions, and health outcomes. Addresses measurement errors, sampling biases, and privacy trade-offs.
Uncovering Disparities in Water-based Outdoor Recreation using Cellphone Mobility Data
With Fan, Ji, Zhang · Environmental Research Letters 19 (2024)
Published+
From 70M+ outdoor trips, communities of color, rural areas, and disadvantaged groups are significantly underrepresented in water-based recreation. Native Americans travel 3–5× longer distances.
How Do Firms Respond to Political Tensions? Chinese Food Importers
With Haoran Li, Wendong Zhang · The World Economy 47(8), 2024
Published+
20% persistent decline in Norwegian fresh salmon imports. "Political hedging" effect: 20% reduction in max import share from any single country three years post-sanction.
When Nature Turns Hazy: How Wildfire Smoke Affects Outdoor Recreation
With Yau-Huo Shr and Wendong Zhang · R&R, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
R&R+
First nationwide mobility-based assessment of wildfire smoke and outdoor recreation. Each additional smoke day cuts visits 13%+, with smoke-sourced PM2.5 reducing visits nearly 4x more than an equivalent increase from temperature inversions. Effects are largest at non-water sites and weakest at national parks, where trip flexibility is lower. Valuing lost visits conservatively at $30/person-day, wildfire smoke costs $8.0B/year in foregone recreational welfare.
Who Goes to Farmers Markets? Food Desert Gaps, Structural Demand, and Policy Design
With Cristina Connolly and Sandro Steinbach
Working Paper+
~70% of food-desert visit gap is demand-side; ~20% supply. SNAP acceptance closes ~18%; evening hours ~33%; one new market per food-desert CBG ~58%. SNAP delivers highest return per public dollar.
I Love That Dirty Water? Value of Water Quality in Recreation Sites
With Christopher R. Knittel and Jing Li
Working Paper+
Using anonymized mobile device data on ~22 million residents visiting 30,000 water recreation sites (2018–2022), recreators are willing to pay $8.20/trip for a one-meter increase in Secchi depth. Improving all sites to the cleanest observed would yield ~$56.3B in annual benefits.
Unequal Waters: Socioeconomic Disparities in Recreational Benefits from Water Quality Improvements
With Fan, Ji, Zhang
Working Paper+
Demand-side factors explain 80–90% of SES welfare gap; geographic access 10–20%. We propose an equity-informed alternative to current Iowa lake restoration prioritization.
The Impact of Texas Senate Bill 8 on Family Care Utilization: Evidence from Large-Scale Mobility Data
With Vo, Connolly, Ghosh, Steinbach
Working Paper+
Using GPS mobility data from Texas family care clinics (2021–2022), SB 8 increased administrative demands on day-shift practitioners (+8.74 visits/month) while urban patients visited more but spent less time per visit. Rural and suburban patient visits stagnated, highlighting how restrictive abortion legislation disrupts healthcare access for underserved communities.